Comparing Theoretical and Observed AI Exposure: Evidence from the Anthropic Economic Index for the United Kingdom

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Abstract

Joins the Anthropic Economic Index’s UK Claude usage shares with UK employment by occupation, and compares the resulting employment-weighted exposure index against Felten, Raj, and Seamans (2021). The existing AI exposure literature is mis-predicting which UK occupations are using Claude most heavily.

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Recommended citation: Coverdale, C. (2026). Comparing Theoretical and Observed AI Exposure: Evidence from the Anthropic Economic Index for the United Kingdom. Working paper.
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